| Thestral vs Jin | 23–30 | 43.40% |
| Thestral vs King | 21–17 | 55.26% |
| Thestral vs Hwoarang | 16–20 | 44.44% |
| Thestral vs Jun | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Thestral vs Yoshimitsu | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Thestral vs Steve | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Thestral vs Eddy | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Thestral vs Law | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Thestral vs Bryan | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Dragunov | 4–14 | 22.22% |
| Thestral vs Lee | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Thestral vs Reina | 11–6 | 64.71% |
| Thestral vs Kazuya | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| Thestral vs Paul | 4–11 | 26.67% |
| Thestral vs Lili | 9–6 | 60.00% |
| Thestral vs Lars | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Thestral vs Heihachi | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Thestral vs Devil Jin | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Thestral vs Leo | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Thestral vs Alisa | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Nina | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Thestral vs Kuma | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Thestral vs Leroy | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Thestral vs Victor | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Thestral vs Xiaoyu | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Thestral vs Asuka | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Thestral vs Azucena | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Thestral vs Clive | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Thestral vs Feng | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Thestral vs Claudio | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Thestral vs Jack-8 | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Thestral vs Shaheen | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Thestral vs Panda | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Thestral vs Lidia | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Thestral vs Fahkumram | 2–1 | 66.67% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.