| Arsonist vs Reina | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Arsonist vs King | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Arsonist vs Bryan | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Arsonist vs Steve | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Arsonist vs Dragunov | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Arsonist vs Jun | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Arsonist vs Law | 10–1 | 90.91% |
| Arsonist vs Azucena | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Arsonist vs Paul | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Arsonist vs Heihachi | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Arsonist vs Jin | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| Arsonist vs Kazuya | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| Arsonist vs Clive | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Arsonist vs Leo | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Arsonist vs Yoshimitsu | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Arsonist vs Hwoarang | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Arsonist vs Victor | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Arsonist vs Lidia | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Arsonist vs Lee | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Arsonist vs Kuma | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Arsonist vs Armor King | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Arsonist vs Lars | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Arsonist vs Nina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Arsonist vs Panda | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Arsonist vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Arsonist vs Anna | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Arsonist vs Fahkumram | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Arsonist vs Miary Zo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Arsonist vs Zafina | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.