| TheMessiah vs Kazuya | 29–49 | 37.18% |
| TheMessiah vs Jin | 22–49 | 30.99% |
| TheMessiah vs King | 28–31 | 47.46% |
| TheMessiah vs Yoshimitsu | 23–27 | 46.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Bryan | 19–30 | 38.78% |
| TheMessiah vs Law | 19–28 | 40.43% |
| TheMessiah vs Hwoarang | 20–26 | 43.48% |
| TheMessiah vs Reina | 21–21 | 50.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Dragunov | 19–22 | 46.34% |
| TheMessiah vs Steve | 22–16 | 57.89% |
| TheMessiah vs Azucena | 14–24 | 36.84% |
| TheMessiah vs Lili | 20–17 | 54.05% |
| TheMessiah vs Jun | 14–21 | 40.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Paul | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| TheMessiah vs Xiaoyu | 9–18 | 33.33% |
| TheMessiah vs Devil Jin | 17–8 | 68.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Lee | 10–15 | 40.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Lidia | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Eddy | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| TheMessiah vs Nina | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| TheMessiah vs Victor | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| TheMessiah vs Feng | 4–14 | 22.22% |
| TheMessiah vs Kuma | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| TheMessiah vs Alisa | 4–11 | 26.67% |
| TheMessiah vs Leroy | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| TheMessiah vs Asuka | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| TheMessiah vs Lars | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| TheMessiah vs Zafina | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Jack-8 | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| TheMessiah vs Leo | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| TheMessiah vs Claudio | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| TheMessiah vs Raven | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| TheMessiah vs Panda | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Heihachi | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| TheMessiah vs Shaheen | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.