| WaterBottle vs Jin | 32–26 | 55.17% |
| WaterBottle vs Hwoarang | 35–15 | 70.00% |
| WaterBottle vs King | 29–16 | 64.44% |
| WaterBottle vs Law | 20–12 | 62.50% |
| WaterBottle vs Yoshimitsu | 18–13 | 58.06% |
| WaterBottle vs Bryan | 22–9 | 70.97% |
| WaterBottle vs Dragunov | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| WaterBottle vs Kazuya | 21–8 | 72.41% |
| WaterBottle vs Jun | 17–12 | 58.62% |
| WaterBottle vs Eddy | 10–19 | 34.48% |
| WaterBottle vs Steve | 16–10 | 61.54% |
| WaterBottle vs Jack-8 | 10–16 | 38.46% |
| WaterBottle vs Devil Jin | 17–7 | 70.83% |
| WaterBottle vs Paul | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| WaterBottle vs Lee | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| WaterBottle vs Feng | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| WaterBottle vs Reina | 12–7 | 63.16% |
| WaterBottle vs Lili | 15–3 | 83.33% |
| WaterBottle vs Leo | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| WaterBottle vs Kuma | 4–13 | 23.53% |
| WaterBottle vs Lars | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| WaterBottle vs Shaheen | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| WaterBottle vs Alisa | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| WaterBottle vs Azucena | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| WaterBottle vs Heihachi | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| WaterBottle vs Asuka | 9–2 | 81.82% |
| WaterBottle vs Raven | 3–8 | 27.27% |
| WaterBottle vs Xiaoyu | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| WaterBottle vs Nina | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| WaterBottle vs Zafina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| WaterBottle vs Victor | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| WaterBottle vs Claudio | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| WaterBottle vs Leroy | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| WaterBottle vs Clive | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.