| Chance vs King | 6–24 | 20.00% |
| Chance vs Lili | 9–19 | 32.14% |
| Chance vs Lidia | 14–12 | 53.85% |
| Chance vs Reina | 17–8 | 68.00% |
| Chance vs Azucena | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Chance vs Hwoarang | 6–13 | 31.58% |
| Chance vs Steve | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Chance vs Dragunov | 5–13 | 27.78% |
| Chance vs Kazuya | 4–13 | 23.53% |
| Chance vs Heihachi | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Chance vs Bryan | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Victor | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Chance vs Yoshimitsu | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Chance vs Jun | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Chance vs Jin | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Chance vs Lee | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Law | 3–8 | 27.27% |
| Chance vs Asuka | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Chance vs Nina | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Chance vs Paul | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Xiaoyu | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Kuma | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Chance vs Eddy | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Chance vs Devil Jin | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Feng | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Chance vs Lars | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Chance vs Alisa | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Chance vs Shaheen | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Chance vs Leo | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Leroy | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Chance vs Jack-8 | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Chance vs Claudio | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Chance vs Raven | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Chance vs Panda | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.