| RainFest vs Dragunov | 17–15 | 53.12% |
| RainFest vs Kazuya | 9–20 | 31.03% |
| RainFest vs King | 9–16 | 36.00% |
| RainFest vs Steve | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| RainFest vs Jin | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| RainFest vs Devil Jin | 13–9 | 59.09% |
| RainFest vs Reina | 16–5 | 76.19% |
| RainFest vs Yoshimitsu | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| RainFest vs Asuka | 12–5 | 70.59% |
| RainFest vs Lidia | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| RainFest vs Eddy | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| RainFest vs Law | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| RainFest vs Hwoarang | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| RainFest vs Lili | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| RainFest vs Jun | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| RainFest vs Azucena | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| RainFest vs Victor | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| RainFest vs Paul | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| RainFest vs Feng | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| RainFest vs Kuma | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| RainFest vs Claudio | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| RainFest vs Xiaoyu | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| RainFest vs Jack-8 | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| RainFest vs Alisa | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| RainFest vs Shaheen | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| RainFest vs Nina | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| RainFest vs Bryan | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| RainFest vs Heihachi | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| RainFest vs Lee | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| RainFest vs Leroy | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| RainFest vs Lars | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| RainFest vs Raven | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| RainFest vs Leo | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| RainFest vs Zafina | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| RainFest vs Clive | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.