| Cupcakes Kid vs King | 23–36 | 38.98% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Paul | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Jin | 10–17 | 37.04% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Steve | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Eddy | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Armor King | 9–18 | 33.33% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Jun | 7–18 | 28.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Fahkumram | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Dragunov | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Kazuya | 3–13 | 18.75% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Asuka | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Reina | 3–13 | 18.75% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Lars | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Law | 1–13 | 7.14% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Yoshimitsu | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Clive | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Hwoarang | 2–10 | 16.67% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Xiaoyu | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Bryan | 1–9 | 10.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Lili | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Azucena | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Anna | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Devil Jin | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Nina | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Leroy | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Raven | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Leo | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Alisa | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Lee | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Kuma | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Heihachi | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Jack-8 | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Lidia | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Miary Zo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cupcakes Kid vs Victor | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.