| Celeste vs Fahkumram | 24–32 | 42.86% |
| Celeste vs Bryan | 34–20 | 62.96% |
| Celeste vs Hwoarang | 25–27 | 48.08% |
| Celeste vs Law | 24–24 | 50.00% |
| Celeste vs Jin | 29–19 | 60.42% |
| Celeste vs Kazuya | 31–17 | 64.58% |
| Celeste vs Steve | 19–26 | 42.22% |
| Celeste vs Dragunov | 29–16 | 64.44% |
| Celeste vs Asuka | 25–16 | 60.98% |
| Celeste vs Eddy | 27–13 | 67.50% |
| Celeste vs King | 14–22 | 38.89% |
| Celeste vs Heihachi | 15–19 | 44.12% |
| Celeste vs Yoshimitsu | 20–13 | 60.61% |
| Celeste vs Jun | 18–15 | 54.55% |
| Celeste vs Paul | 20–12 | 62.50% |
| Celeste vs Reina | 8–22 | 26.67% |
| Celeste vs Azucena | 10–16 | 38.46% |
| Celeste vs Raven | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| Celeste vs Leo | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| Celeste vs Lee | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| Celeste vs Armor King | 9–15 | 37.50% |
| Celeste vs Devil Jin | 12–11 | 52.17% |
| Celeste vs Lars | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| Celeste vs Victor | 8–15 | 34.78% |
| Celeste vs Lili | 14–8 | 63.64% |
| Celeste vs Xiaoyu | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Celeste vs Lidia | 10–8 | 55.56% |
| Celeste vs Leroy | 11–6 | 64.71% |
| Celeste vs Anna | 7–10 | 41.18% |
| Celeste vs Nina | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| Celeste vs Alisa | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Celeste vs Claudio | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Celeste vs Feng | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Celeste vs Clive | 1–8 | 11.11% |
| Celeste vs Kuma | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| Celeste vs Zafina | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Celeste vs Shaheen | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Celeste vs Jack-8 | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Celeste vs Panda | 0–3 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.