| winter vs Kazuya | 16–23 | 41.03% |
| winter vs Reina | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| winter vs King | 12–14 | 46.15% |
| winter vs Hwoarang | 13–13 | 50.00% |
| winter vs Paul | 8–15 | 34.78% |
| winter vs Dragunov | 8–15 | 34.78% |
| winter vs Yoshimitsu | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| winter vs Lili | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| winter vs Xiaoyu | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| winter vs Steve | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| winter vs Victor | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| winter vs Asuka | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| winter vs Azucena | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| winter vs Law | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| winter vs Lidia | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| winter vs Jin | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| winter vs Devil Jin | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| winter vs Lars | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| winter vs Lee | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| winter vs Eddy | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| winter vs Jun | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| winter vs Bryan | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| winter vs Feng | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| winter vs Claudio | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| winter vs Leroy | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| winter vs Leo | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| winter vs Alisa | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| winter vs Nina | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| winter vs Zafina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| winter vs Kuma | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| winter vs Jack-8 | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| winter vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| winter vs Shaheen | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.