| Expecting Rain vs Kazuya | 20–19 | 51.28% |
| Expecting Rain vs Jin | 18–19 | 48.65% |
| Expecting Rain vs Dragunov | 15–15 | 50.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Reina | 9–20 | 31.03% |
| Expecting Rain vs Paul | 5–22 | 18.52% |
| Expecting Rain vs King | 16–9 | 64.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Hwoarang | 15–9 | 62.50% |
| Expecting Rain vs Lili | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Expecting Rain vs Asuka | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| Expecting Rain vs Jun | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Expecting Rain vs Xiaoyu | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Alisa | 10–2 | 83.33% |
| Expecting Rain vs Yoshimitsu | 4–6–1 | 40.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Bryan | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Expecting Rain vs Steve | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Nina | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Azucena | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Expecting Rain vs Eddy | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Expecting Rain vs Victor | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Expecting Rain vs Devil Jin | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Expecting Rain vs Heihachi | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Expecting Rain vs Law | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Claudio | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Lee | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Anna | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Kuma | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Panda | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Feng | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Expecting Rain vs Armor King | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Expecting Rain vs Leo | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Shaheen | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Leroy | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Expecting Rain vs Lidia | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.