| messiah vs Reina | 20–9 | 68.97% |
| messiah vs Lili | 15–10 | 60.00% |
| messiah vs Hwoarang | 6–13 | 31.58% |
| messiah vs Devil Jin | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| messiah vs Jin | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| messiah vs King | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| messiah vs Nina | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| messiah vs Xiaoyu | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| messiah vs Bryan | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| messiah vs Kazuya | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| messiah vs Dragunov | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| messiah vs Paul | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| messiah vs Azucena | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| messiah vs Victor | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| messiah vs Yoshimitsu | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| messiah vs Steve | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| messiah vs Asuka | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| messiah vs Claudio | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| messiah vs Eddy | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| messiah vs Law | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| messiah vs Jack-8 | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| messiah vs Lars | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| messiah vs Leroy | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| messiah vs Jun | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| messiah vs Leo | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| messiah vs Alisa | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| messiah vs Feng | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| messiah vs Kuma | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| messiah vs Zafina | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| messiah vs Raven | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| messiah vs Shaheen | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| messiah vs Lee | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.