| probablyass vs King | 10–19 | 34.48% |
| probablyass vs Clive | 6–15 | 28.57% |
| probablyass vs Bryan | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| probablyass vs Kazuya | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| probablyass vs Steve | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| probablyass vs Jin | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| probablyass vs Reina | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| probablyass vs Leo | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| probablyass vs Lars | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| probablyass vs Nina | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| probablyass vs Victor | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| probablyass vs Lili | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| probablyass vs Paul | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| probablyass vs Law | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| probablyass vs Jun | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| probablyass vs Anna | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| probablyass vs Hwoarang | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| probablyass vs Asuka | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| probablyass vs Feng | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| probablyass vs Azucena | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| probablyass vs Eddy | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| probablyass vs Zafina | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| probablyass vs Yoshimitsu | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| probablyass vs Heihachi | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| probablyass vs Alisa | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| probablyass vs Raven | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| probablyass vs Xiaoyu | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| probablyass vs Jack-8 | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| probablyass vs Shaheen | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| probablyass vs Lee | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| probablyass vs Kuma | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| probablyass vs Leroy | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| probablyass vs Devil Jin | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| probablyass vs Lidia | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.