| Incarnation vs King | 57–43 | 57.00% |
| Incarnation vs Kazuya | 43–57 | 43.00% |
| Incarnation vs Armor King | 41–44 | 48.24% |
| Incarnation vs Steve | 41–43 | 48.81% |
| Incarnation vs Bryan | 35–46 | 43.21% |
| Incarnation vs Jin | 38–36 | 51.35% |
| Incarnation vs Hwoarang | 28–40 | 41.18% |
| Incarnation vs Reina | 31–36 | 46.27% |
| Incarnation vs Dragunov | 27–34 | 44.26% |
| Incarnation vs Lee | 29–30 | 49.15% |
| Incarnation vs Lars | 32–26 | 55.17% |
| Incarnation vs Yoshimitsu | 24–31 | 43.64% |
| Incarnation vs Lili | 21–34 | 38.18% |
| Incarnation vs Paul | 23–28 | 45.10% |
| Incarnation vs Law | 22–28 | 44.00% |
| Incarnation vs Fahkumram | 24–24 | 50.00% |
| Incarnation vs Heihachi | 23–22 | 51.11% |
| Incarnation vs Azucena | 23–19 | 54.76% |
| Incarnation vs Miary Zo | 19–23 | 45.24% |
| Incarnation vs Eddy | 12–25 | 32.43% |
| Incarnation vs Asuka | 16–19 | 45.71% |
| Incarnation vs Jun | 13–20 | 39.39% |
| Incarnation vs Xiaoyu | 14–14 | 50.00% |
| Incarnation vs Alisa | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Incarnation vs Nina | 7–20 | 25.93% |
| Incarnation vs Feng | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| Incarnation vs Leroy | 15–10 | 60.00% |
| Incarnation vs Leo | 14–8 | 63.64% |
| Incarnation vs Victor | 12–10 | 54.55% |
| Incarnation vs Devil Jin | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Incarnation vs Raven | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| Incarnation vs Jack-8 | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| Incarnation vs Lidia | 5–13 | 27.78% |
| Incarnation vs Claudio | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Incarnation vs Clive | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Incarnation vs Panda | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Incarnation vs Anna | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Incarnation vs Shaheen | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Incarnation vs Kuma | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Incarnation vs Zafina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.