| Chance vs Jin | 18–25 | 41.86% |
| Chance vs King | 17–25 | 40.48% |
| Chance vs Lidia | 14–27 | 34.15% |
| Chance vs Kazuya | 6–19 | 24.00% |
| Chance vs Reina | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| Chance vs Law | 8–16 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Nina | 12–10 | 54.55% |
| Chance vs Eddy | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| Chance vs Lili | 6–15 | 28.57% |
| Chance vs Jun | 6–15 | 28.57% |
| Chance vs Bryan | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Chance vs Steve | 14–5 | 73.68% |
| Chance vs Lee | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Chance vs Hwoarang | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Dragunov | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Victor | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Chance vs Lars | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Yoshimitsu | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Chance vs Xiaoyu | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Azucena | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Paul | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Chance vs Claudio | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Chance vs Devil Jin | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Alisa | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Chance vs Kuma | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Chance vs Raven | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Chance vs Asuka | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Chance vs Leo | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Chance vs Zafina | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Chance vs Feng | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Leroy | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.