| Nakayama Festa vs Kazuya | 275–282 | 49.37% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Bryan | 286–234 | 55.00% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Reina | 250–166–1 | 60.10% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Jin | 185–187 | 49.73% |
| Nakayama Festa vs King | 189–166 | 53.24% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Steve | 178–153 | 53.78% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Armor King | 171–140 | 54.98% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Heihachi | 173–134 | 56.35% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Lee | 129–161 | 44.48% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Dragunov | 161–116 | 58.12% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Law | 160–115 | 58.18% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Paul | 135–129 | 51.14% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Hwoarang | 119–134 | 47.04% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Clive | 131–117 | 52.82% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Lili | 125–111 | 52.97% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Lidia | 112–122 | 47.86% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Azucena | 118–97 | 54.88% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Lars | 93–110 | 45.81% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Xiaoyu | 111–90 | 55.22% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Devil Jin | 103–92 | 52.82% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Asuka | 100–86 | 53.76% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Yoshimitsu | 91–94 | 49.19% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Jun | 88–87 | 50.29% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Fahkumram | 96–71 | 57.49% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Feng | 70–96 | 42.17% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Nina | 64–90 | 41.56% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Victor | 77–67 | 53.47% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Leo | 64–79 | 44.76% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Leroy | 73–63 | 53.68% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Claudio | 60–61 | 49.59% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Eddy | 66–47 | 58.41% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Jack-8 | 69–43 | 61.61% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Raven | 49–58 | 45.79% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Shaheen | 47–55 | 46.08% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Alisa | 47–53 | 47.00% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Anna | 44–42 | 51.16% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Kuma | 38–34–1 | 52.78% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Miary Zo | 38–34 | 52.78% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Zafina | 27–42 | 39.13% |
| Nakayama Festa vs Panda | 13–20 | 39.39% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.