| Messiah vs Kazuya | 31–43 | 41.89% |
| Messiah vs King | 27–41 | 39.71% |
| Messiah vs Jin | 23–34 | 40.35% |
| Messiah vs Law | 15–29 | 34.09% |
| Messiah vs Dragunov | 10–30 | 25.00% |
| Messiah vs Paul | 8–23 | 25.81% |
| Messiah vs Hwoarang | 16–15 | 51.61% |
| Messiah vs Steve | 18–12 | 60.00% |
| Messiah vs Devil Jin | 11–17 | 39.29% |
| Messiah vs Heihachi | 6–19 | 24.00% |
| Messiah vs Yoshimitsu | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| Messiah vs Bryan | 6–17 | 26.09% |
| Messiah vs Jun | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Messiah vs Lidia | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Messiah vs Reina | 16–4 | 80.00% |
| Messiah vs Nina | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Messiah vs Lili | 7–10 | 41.18% |
| Messiah vs Alisa | 5–12 | 29.41% |
| Messiah vs Victor | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Messiah vs Eddy | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Jack-8 | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Messiah vs Lars | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Messiah vs Xiaoyu | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Messiah vs Anna | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Messiah vs Lee | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Messiah vs Asuka | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Leo | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Claudio | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Shaheen | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Kuma | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Leroy | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Azucena | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Feng | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Messiah vs Raven | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Armor King | 5–0 | 100.00% |
| Messiah vs Zafina | 2–2 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.