| Moonlight vs Kazuya | 70–87 | 44.59% |
| Moonlight vs Jin | 82–67 | 55.03% |
| Moonlight vs Devil Jin | 58–44 | 56.86% |
| Moonlight vs King | 49–45 | 52.13% |
| Moonlight vs Bryan | 44–50 | 46.81% |
| Moonlight vs Law | 51–40 | 56.04% |
| Moonlight vs Reina | 47–42 | 52.81% |
| Moonlight vs Paul | 38–43 | 46.91% |
| Moonlight vs Dragunov | 30–48 | 38.46% |
| Moonlight vs Hwoarang | 30–44 | 40.54% |
| Moonlight vs Steve | 32–36 | 47.06% |
| Moonlight vs Lee | 28–37 | 43.08% |
| Moonlight vs Yoshimitsu | 31–24 | 56.36% |
| Moonlight vs Feng | 30–20 | 60.00% |
| Moonlight vs Victor | 14–36 | 28.00% |
| Moonlight vs Jun | 13–36 | 26.53% |
| Moonlight vs Azucena | 20–28 | 41.67% |
| Moonlight vs Lili | 32–15 | 68.09% |
| Moonlight vs Xiaoyu | 16–25 | 39.02% |
| Moonlight vs Alisa | 20–14 | 58.82% |
| Moonlight vs Lars | 13–20 | 39.39% |
| Moonlight vs Nina | 11–22 | 33.33% |
| Moonlight vs Asuka | 19–10 | 65.52% |
| Moonlight vs Leroy | 15–14 | 51.72% |
| Moonlight vs Leo | 8–19 | 29.63% |
| Moonlight vs Raven | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Moonlight vs Zafina | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| Moonlight vs Fahkumram | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| Moonlight vs Eddy | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Moonlight vs Claudio | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Moonlight vs Kuma | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Moonlight vs Jack-8 | 10–8 | 55.56% |
| Moonlight vs Shaheen | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Moonlight vs Heihachi | 3–8 | 27.27% |
| Moonlight vs Anna | 9–2 | 81.82% |
| Moonlight vs Panda | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Moonlight vs Lidia | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Moonlight vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.