| PenumbraCaster vs Kazuya | 115–75 | 60.53% |
| PenumbraCaster vs King | 90–97 | 48.13% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Jin | 80–85 | 48.48% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Hwoarang | 87–72 | 54.72% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Bryan | 72–71 | 50.35% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Steve | 63–57 | 52.50% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Law | 60–49 | 55.05% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Lee | 56–51 | 52.34% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Paul | 43–56 | 43.43% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Reina | 47–51 | 47.96% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Dragunov | 46–45 | 50.55% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Lars | 42–41 | 50.60% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Eddy | 46–33 | 58.23% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Yoshimitsu | 39–36 | 52.00% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Asuka | 30–44 | 40.54% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Heihachi | 33–39 | 45.83% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Azucena | 37–34 | 52.11% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Xiaoyu | 36–31 | 53.73% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Victor | 31–36 | 46.27% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Nina | 33–29 | 53.23% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Feng | 40–19 | 67.80% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Clive | 39–19 | 67.24% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Jun | 31–26 | 54.39% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Leo | 32–24 | 57.14% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Lili | 25–29 | 46.30% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Lidia | 29–25 | 53.70% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Devil Jin | 26–26 | 50.00% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Leroy | 29–20 | 59.18% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Raven | 28–19 | 59.57% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Fahkumram | 24–23 | 51.06% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Alisa | 28–16 | 63.64% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Jack-8 | 15–26 | 36.59% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Claudio | 15–13 | 53.57% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Zafina | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Miary Zo | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Armor King | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Kuma | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Anna | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Shaheen | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| PenumbraCaster vs Panda | 3–4 | 42.86% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.