| Water vs Kazuya | 75–66 | 53.19% |
| Water vs Bryan | 82–43 | 65.60% |
| Water vs King | 78–46 | 62.90% |
| Water vs Jin | 58–42 | 58.00% |
| Water vs Heihachi | 62–34 | 64.58% |
| Water vs Reina | 55–26 | 67.90% |
| Water vs Steve | 46–34 | 57.50% |
| Water vs Paul | 40–32 | 55.56% |
| Water vs Lee | 35–34 | 50.72% |
| Water vs Azucena | 51–16 | 76.12% |
| Water vs Law | 50–14 | 78.12% |
| Water vs Dragunov | 38–22 | 63.33% |
| Water vs Yoshimitsu | 21–31 | 40.38% |
| Water vs Devil Jin | 35–16 | 68.63% |
| Water vs Lili | 28–22 | 56.00% |
| Water vs Hwoarang | 31–18 | 63.27% |
| Water vs Jun | 34–13 | 72.34% |
| Water vs Asuka | 25–20 | 55.56% |
| Water vs Armor King | 29–16 | 64.44% |
| Water vs Lars | 24–20 | 54.55% |
| Water vs Xiaoyu | 16–22 | 42.11% |
| Water vs Feng | 25–12 | 67.57% |
| Water vs Alisa | 15–21 | 41.67% |
| Water vs Jack-8 | 18–16 | 52.94% |
| Water vs Eddy | 16–16 | 50.00% |
| Water vs Nina | 16–14 | 53.33% |
| Water vs Lidia | 14–15 | 48.28% |
| Water vs Anna | 14–15 | 48.28% |
| Water vs Shaheen | 16–9 | 64.00% |
| Water vs Leroy | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| Water vs Leo | 15–8 | 65.22% |
| Water vs Fahkumram | 16–4 | 80.00% |
| Water vs Claudio | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| Water vs Raven | 11–7 | 61.11% |
| Water vs Clive | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Water vs Victor | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Water vs Kuma | 9–6 | 60.00% |
| Water vs Panda | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Water vs Zafina | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Water vs Miary Zo | 3–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.