| MostLikelyJohn vs Eddy | 20–24 | 45.45% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs King | 21–21 | 50.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Jin | 21–20 | 51.22% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Steve | 21–13 | 61.76% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Clive | 21–12 | 63.64% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Kazuya | 14–18 | 43.75% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Yoshimitsu | 18–12 | 60.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Reina | 19–11 | 63.33% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Hwoarang | 19–10 | 65.52% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Bryan | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Dragunov | 16–11 | 59.26% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Paul | 12–14 | 46.15% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Azucena | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Asuka | 9–15 | 37.50% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Lee | 15–8 | 65.22% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Jun | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Devil Jin | 12–10 | 54.55% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Lili | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Lars | 12–7 | 63.16% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Kuma | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Alisa | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Lidia | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Victor | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Leo | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Nina | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Xiaoyu | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Heihachi | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Fahkumram | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Armor King | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Law | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Feng | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Panda | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Leroy | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Jack-8 | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Shaheen | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| MostLikelyJohn vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.