| Ciel vs King | 16–29 | 35.56% |
| Ciel vs Jin | 14–24 | 36.84% |
| Ciel vs Reina | 17–18 | 48.57% |
| Ciel vs Steve | 18–14 | 56.25% |
| Ciel vs Victor | 6–17 | 26.09% |
| Ciel vs Kazuya | 6–15 | 28.57% |
| Ciel vs Jun | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Lars | 3–12 | 20.00% |
| Ciel vs Lili | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Ciel vs Alisa | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| Ciel vs Heihachi | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| Ciel vs Hwoarang | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Claudio | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Law | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Ciel vs Nina | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Ciel vs Asuka | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Ciel vs Fahkumram | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Ciel vs Yoshimitsu | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Ciel vs Devil Jin | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Xiaoyu | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Bryan | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Jack-8 | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Dragunov | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Lee | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Azucena | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Paul | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Ciel vs Shaheen | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Eddy | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Feng | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Ciel vs Leo | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Ciel vs Leroy | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Ciel vs Kuma | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.