| Federation vs Jin | 17–19 | 47.22% |
| Federation vs Kazuya | 12–17 | 41.38% |
| Federation vs King | 8–16 | 33.33% |
| Federation vs Reina | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| Federation vs Hwoarang | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Federation vs Dragunov | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Federation vs Yoshimitsu | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| Federation vs Steve | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Federation vs Clive | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Federation vs Victor | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Federation vs Eddy | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Federation vs Heihachi | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Federation vs Asuka | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Federation vs Bryan | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Federation vs Alisa | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Federation vs Azucena | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| Federation vs Feng | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Federation vs Xiaoyu | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Federation vs Lili | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Federation vs Leroy | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Federation vs Law | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| Federation vs Devil Jin | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Federation vs Nina | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Federation vs Lidia | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Federation vs Shaheen | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Federation vs Lee | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Federation vs Raven | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Federation vs Jack-8 | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Federation vs Leo | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Federation vs Lars | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Federation vs Paul | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Federation vs Claudio | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Federation vs Kuma | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Federation vs Panda | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Federation vs Jun | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.