| Arsonist vs Kazuya | 105–141 | 42.68% |
| Arsonist vs Jin | 91–119 | 43.33% |
| Arsonist vs Bryan | 91–103 | 46.91% |
| Arsonist vs King | 92–87 | 51.40% |
| Arsonist vs Reina | 97–79 | 55.11% |
| Arsonist vs Heihachi | 68–84 | 44.74% |
| Arsonist vs Paul | 58–81–1 | 41.73% |
| Arsonist vs Steve | 71–64 | 52.59% |
| Arsonist vs Hwoarang | 48–75 | 39.02% |
| Arsonist vs Dragunov | 55–66 | 45.45% |
| Arsonist vs Law | 52–65 | 44.44% |
| Arsonist vs Azucena | 55–55 | 50.00% |
| Arsonist vs Eddy | 39–70 | 35.78% |
| Arsonist vs Lars | 41–61 | 40.20% |
| Arsonist vs Clive | 39–61 | 39.00% |
| Arsonist vs Jun | 40–58 | 40.82% |
| Arsonist vs Raven | 36–55 | 39.56% |
| Arsonist vs Lili | 29–59 | 32.95% |
| Arsonist vs Lidia | 43–45 | 48.86% |
| Arsonist vs Feng | 28–58 | 32.56% |
| Arsonist vs Lee | 46–40 | 53.49% |
| Arsonist vs Asuka | 30–55 | 35.29% |
| Arsonist vs Yoshimitsu | 35–48 | 42.17% |
| Arsonist vs Devil Jin | 36–42 | 46.15% |
| Arsonist vs Xiaoyu | 27–41 | 39.71% |
| Arsonist vs Victor | 24–38 | 38.71% |
| Arsonist vs Nina | 25–32 | 43.86% |
| Arsonist vs Leroy | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| Arsonist vs Leo | 14–22 | 38.89% |
| Arsonist vs Claudio | 12–21 | 36.36% |
| Arsonist vs Jack-8 | 14–17 | 45.16% |
| Arsonist vs Alisa | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| Arsonist vs Shaheen | 19–9 | 67.86% |
| Arsonist vs Kuma | 7–21 | 25.00% |
| Arsonist vs Panda | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Arsonist vs Zafina | 6–9 | 40.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.