| Guessing vs Hwoarang | 43–35 | 55.13% |
| Guessing vs Law | 33–34 | 49.25% |
| Guessing vs King | 39–28 | 58.21% |
| Guessing vs Jin | 38–25 | 60.32% |
| Guessing vs Kazuya | 34–27 | 55.74% |
| Guessing vs Lee | 29–24 | 54.72% |
| Guessing vs Steve | 29–21 | 58.00% |
| Guessing vs Bryan | 35–14 | 71.43% |
| Guessing vs Reina | 30–17 | 63.83% |
| Guessing vs Paul | 27–19 | 58.70% |
| Guessing vs Raven | 25–19 | 56.82% |
| Guessing vs Heihachi | 18–23 | 43.90% |
| Guessing vs Lars | 30–10 | 75.00% |
| Guessing vs Xiaoyu | 24–15 | 61.54% |
| Guessing vs Lili | 26–13 | 66.67% |
| Guessing vs Clive | 21–14 | 60.00% |
| Guessing vs Azucena | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| Guessing vs Yoshimitsu | 14–17 | 45.16% |
| Guessing vs Victor | 18–11 | 62.07% |
| Guessing vs Claudio | 9–19 | 32.14% |
| Guessing vs Nina | 21–6 | 77.78% |
| Guessing vs Eddy | 17–10 | 62.96% |
| Guessing vs Asuka | 16–10 | 61.54% |
| Guessing vs Leo | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| Guessing vs Anna | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| Guessing vs Devil Jin | 15–9 | 62.50% |
| Guessing vs Feng | 8–16 | 33.33% |
| Guessing vs Dragunov | 15–9 | 62.50% |
| Guessing vs Leroy | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| Guessing vs Zafina | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| Guessing vs Jun | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Guessing vs Lidia | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Guessing vs Jack-8 | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| Guessing vs Kuma | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Guessing vs Fahkumram | 9–6 | 60.00% |
| Guessing vs Alisa | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Guessing vs Armor King | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Guessing vs Shaheen | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Guessing vs Miary Zo | 1–2 | 33.33% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.