| supernova vs Kazuya | 129–144 | 47.25% |
| supernova vs King | 125–136 | 47.89% |
| supernova vs Dragunov | 125–123–1 | 50.40% |
| supernova vs Bryan | 107–111 | 49.08% |
| supernova vs Jin | 101–114 | 46.98% |
| supernova vs Heihachi | 74–71 | 51.03% |
| supernova vs Reina | 61–71 | 46.21% |
| supernova vs Steve | 70–61 | 53.44% |
| supernova vs Yoshimitsu | 65–58 | 52.85% |
| supernova vs Paul | 61–53 | 53.51% |
| supernova vs Law | 47–67 | 41.23% |
| supernova vs Hwoarang | 47–65 | 41.96% |
| supernova vs Devil Jin | 54–56 | 49.09% |
| supernova vs Lee | 35–40 | 46.67% |
| supernova vs Victor | 42–31 | 57.53% |
| supernova vs Feng | 37–23 | 61.67% |
| supernova vs Nina | 29–31 | 48.33% |
| supernova vs Anna | 26–31 | 45.61% |
| supernova vs Alisa | 22–34 | 39.29% |
| supernova vs Shaheen | 23–31 | 42.59% |
| supernova vs Claudio | 27–26 | 50.94% |
| supernova vs Eddy | 27–25 | 51.92% |
| supernova vs Asuka | 19–24 | 44.19% |
| supernova vs Azucena | 23–17 | 57.50% |
| supernova vs Fahkumram | 14–25 | 35.90% |
| supernova vs Xiaoyu | 18–20 | 47.37% |
| supernova vs Lars | 11–24 | 31.43% |
| supernova vs Leroy | 11–24 | 31.43% |
| supernova vs Lili | 7–25 | 21.88% |
| supernova vs Lidia | 17–15 | 53.12% |
| supernova vs Jack-8 | 10–20 | 33.33% |
| supernova vs Jun | 13–17 | 43.33% |
| supernova vs Leo | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| supernova vs Zafina | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| supernova vs Clive | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| supernova vs Kuma | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| supernova vs Raven | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| supernova vs Armor King | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| supernova vs Miary Zo | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| supernova vs Panda | 3–5 | 37.50% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.