| Ultra vs Kazuya | 109–123 | 46.98% |
| Ultra vs Bryan | 98–132 | 42.61% |
| Ultra vs Steve | 104–106 | 49.52% |
| Ultra vs King | 100–72 | 58.14% |
| Ultra vs Jin | 73–79 | 48.03% |
| Ultra vs Heihachi | 58–93 | 38.41% |
| Ultra vs Yoshimitsu | 53–78 | 40.46% |
| Ultra vs Armor King | 68–63 | 51.91% |
| Ultra vs Paul | 49–63 | 43.75% |
| Ultra vs Dragunov | 46–58 | 44.23% |
| Ultra vs Reina | 56–48 | 53.85% |
| Ultra vs Lee | 40–55 | 42.11% |
| Ultra vs Lili | 45–48 | 48.39% |
| Ultra vs Law | 33–59 | 35.87% |
| Ultra vs Hwoarang | 32–55 | 36.78% |
| Ultra vs Fahkumram | 30–33 | 47.62% |
| Ultra vs Lars | 23–38 | 37.70% |
| Ultra vs Nina | 28–32 | 46.67% |
| Ultra vs Devil Jin | 28–28 | 50.00% |
| Ultra vs Alisa | 25–31 | 44.64% |
| Ultra vs Jack-8 | 26–22 | 54.17% |
| Ultra vs Jun | 21–26 | 44.68% |
| Ultra vs Leo | 17–28 | 37.78% |
| Ultra vs Xiaoyu | 21–20 | 51.22% |
| Ultra vs Feng | 20–19 | 51.28% |
| Ultra vs Lidia | 21–18 | 53.85% |
| Ultra vs Asuka | 14–24 | 36.84% |
| Ultra vs Azucena | 12–26 | 31.58% |
| Ultra vs Eddy | 20–17 | 54.05% |
| Ultra vs Raven | 18–17 | 51.43% |
| Ultra vs Leroy | 11–19 | 36.67% |
| Ultra vs Victor | 11–18 | 37.93% |
| Ultra vs Claudio | 13–15 | 46.43% |
| Ultra vs Clive | 9–17 | 34.62% |
| Ultra vs Anna | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| Ultra vs Kuma | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| Ultra vs Miary Zo | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Ultra vs Zafina | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Ultra vs Shaheen | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Ultra vs Panda | 2–1 | 66.67% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.