| Rafael vs Lili | 11–2 | 84.62% |
| Rafael vs Law | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Rafael vs Victor | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Rafael vs Hwoarang | 5–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Jin | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Rafael vs Kazuya | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Rafael vs Eddy | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Rafael vs Bryan | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Rafael vs Steve | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Asuka | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Dragunov | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Reina | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Yoshimitsu | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Kuma | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Rafael vs King | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Alisa | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Leroy | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Jun | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Lidia | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Xiaoyu | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Devil Jin | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Leo | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Lars | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Nina | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Azucena | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Raven | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Heihachi | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.