| hot choco vs Kazuya | 81–65 | 55.48% |
| hot choco vs Paul | 57–70 | 44.88% |
| hot choco vs King | 55–65 | 45.83% |
| hot choco vs Dragunov | 55–55 | 50.00% |
| hot choco vs Bryan | 45–62 | 42.06% |
| hot choco vs Reina | 51–55 | 48.11% |
| hot choco vs Hwoarang | 52–52 | 50.00% |
| hot choco vs Law | 49–46 | 51.58% |
| hot choco vs Lili | 55–36 | 60.44% |
| hot choco vs Steve | 48–39 | 55.17% |
| hot choco vs Jin | 42–42 | 50.00% |
| hot choco vs Yoshimitsu | 41–35 | 53.95% |
| hot choco vs Heihachi | 24–42 | 36.36% |
| hot choco vs Azucena | 30–34 | 46.88% |
| hot choco vs Xiaoyu | 35–28 | 55.56% |
| hot choco vs Jun | 29–28 | 50.88% |
| hot choco vs Victor | 20–33 | 37.74% |
| hot choco vs Asuka | 34–17 | 66.67% |
| hot choco vs Devil Jin | 27–22 | 55.10% |
| hot choco vs Claudio | 20–26 | 43.48% |
| hot choco vs Armor King | 22–21 | 51.16% |
| hot choco vs Lidia | 22–20 | 52.38% |
| hot choco vs Nina | 28–13 | 68.29% |
| hot choco vs Alisa | 24–15 | 61.54% |
| hot choco vs Leo | 15–22 | 40.54% |
| hot choco vs Feng | 19–16 | 54.29% |
| hot choco vs Clive | 9–26 | 25.71% |
| hot choco vs Jack-8 | 14–19 | 42.42% |
| hot choco vs Lee | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| hot choco vs Eddy | 19–13 | 59.38% |
| hot choco vs Fahkumram | 11–20 | 35.48% |
| hot choco vs Leroy | 5–19 | 20.83% |
| hot choco vs Lars | 12–11 | 52.17% |
| hot choco vs Kuma | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| hot choco vs Shaheen | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| hot choco vs Anna | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| hot choco vs Panda | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| hot choco vs Raven | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| hot choco vs Zafina | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| hot choco vs Miary Zo | 0–3 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.