| Dawn vs King | 99–97 | 50.51% |
| Dawn vs Jin | 92–77 | 54.44% |
| Dawn vs Reina | 83–81 | 50.61% |
| Dawn vs Kazuya | 63–59 | 51.64% |
| Dawn vs Bryan | 62–57 | 52.10% |
| Dawn vs Hwoarang | 54–62 | 46.55% |
| Dawn vs Law | 41–62 | 39.81% |
| Dawn vs Steve | 58–38 | 60.42% |
| Dawn vs Asuka | 48–32 | 60.00% |
| Dawn vs Xiaoyu | 37–39 | 48.68% |
| Dawn vs Dragunov | 37–35 | 51.39% |
| Dawn vs Lars | 28–44 | 38.89% |
| Dawn vs Jun | 37–35 | 51.39% |
| Dawn vs Yoshimitsu | 24–47 | 33.80% |
| Dawn vs Eddy | 36–35 | 50.70% |
| Dawn vs Heihachi | 35–35 | 50.00% |
| Dawn vs Paul | 32–37 | 46.38% |
| Dawn vs Azucena | 27–41 | 39.71% |
| Dawn vs Lee | 23–42 | 35.38% |
| Dawn vs Lili | 34–29 | 53.97% |
| Dawn vs Devil Jin | 33–28 | 54.10% |
| Dawn vs Victor | 21–27 | 43.75% |
| Dawn vs Alisa | 22–21 | 51.16% |
| Dawn vs Leo | 15–26 | 36.59% |
| Dawn vs Feng | 11–29 | 27.50% |
| Dawn vs Lidia | 14–23 | 37.84% |
| Dawn vs Leroy | 13–20 | 39.39% |
| Dawn vs Clive | 10–22 | 31.25% |
| Dawn vs Raven | 12–19 | 38.71% |
| Dawn vs Nina | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Dawn vs Armor King | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| Dawn vs Kuma | 13–13 | 50.00% |
| Dawn vs Claudio | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| Dawn vs Anna | 7–14 | 33.33% |
| Dawn vs Jack-8 | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Dawn vs Fahkumram | 7–11 | 38.89% |
| Dawn vs Shaheen | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Dawn vs Zafina | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Dawn vs Panda | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Dawn vs Miary Zo | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.