| Arsonist vs Kazuya | 28–31 | 47.46% |
| Arsonist vs Jin | 31–25 | 55.36% |
| Arsonist vs Reina | 28–18 | 60.87% |
| Arsonist vs Hwoarang | 25–20 | 55.56% |
| Arsonist vs King | 22–11 | 66.67% |
| Arsonist vs Steve | 24–9 | 72.73% |
| Arsonist vs Clive | 15–18 | 45.45% |
| Arsonist vs Lili | 16–14 | 53.33% |
| Arsonist vs Dragunov | 16–12 | 57.14% |
| Arsonist vs Victor | 12–16 | 42.86% |
| Arsonist vs Paul | 12–12 | 50.00% |
| Arsonist vs Law | 13–9 | 59.09% |
| Arsonist vs Lee | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| Arsonist vs Alisa | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Arsonist vs Heihachi | 9–6 | 60.00% |
| Arsonist vs Bryan | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Arsonist vs Leo | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Arsonist vs Lars | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Arsonist vs Claudio | 9–3 | 75.00% |
| Arsonist vs Xiaoyu | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Arsonist vs Nina | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Arsonist vs Yoshimitsu | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Arsonist vs Devil Jin | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Arsonist vs Kuma | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Arsonist vs Azucena | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Arsonist vs Lidia | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Arsonist vs Leroy | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Arsonist vs Asuka | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Arsonist vs Eddy | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| Arsonist vs Jack-8 | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Arsonist vs Jun | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Arsonist vs Feng | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Arsonist vs Shaheen | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Arsonist vs Raven | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Arsonist vs Armor King | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Arsonist vs Anna | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.