| Celeste vs Steve | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| Celeste vs Jin | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| Celeste vs Leo | 6–14 | 30.00% |
| Celeste vs Law | 1–18 | 5.26% |
| Celeste vs Lee | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| Celeste vs Reina | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| Celeste vs Armor King | 1–15 | 6.25% |
| Celeste vs Hwoarang | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Celeste vs Bryan | 3–12 | 20.00% |
| Celeste vs Azucena | 2–13 | 13.33% |
| Celeste vs King | 3–11 | 21.43% |
| Celeste vs Kazuya | 3–11 | 21.43% |
| Celeste vs Eddy | 3–11 | 21.43% |
| Celeste vs Yoshimitsu | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Celeste vs Dragunov | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Celeste vs Nina | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Celeste vs Jun | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Celeste vs Heihachi | 1–8 | 11.11% |
| Celeste vs Anna | 1–8 | 11.11% |
| Celeste vs Paul | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Celeste vs Victor | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Celeste vs Xiaoyu | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| Celeste vs Leroy | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Celeste vs Lidia | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Celeste vs Clive | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Celeste vs Asuka | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Celeste vs Lili | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Celeste vs Zafina | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Celeste vs Devil Jin | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Celeste vs Shaheen | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Celeste vs Panda | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Celeste vs Fahkumram | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Celeste vs Jack-8 | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Celeste vs Claudio | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Celeste vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.