| Ultimate vs Armor King | 19–11 | 63.33% |
| Ultimate vs Clive | 17–12 | 58.62% |
| Ultimate vs Reina | 18–10 | 64.29% |
| Ultimate vs Jin | 23–4 | 85.19% |
| Ultimate vs King | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Ultimate vs Dragunov | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Ultimate vs Paul | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| Ultimate vs Steve | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Ultimate vs Anna | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| Ultimate vs Lee | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Ultimate vs Azucena | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Ultimate vs Lars | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Ultimate vs Victor | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Ultimate vs Law | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Ultimate vs Asuka | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Ultimate vs Lidia | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Ultimate vs Heihachi | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Ultimate vs Hwoarang | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Ultimate vs Kazuya | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Ultimate vs Feng | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Ultimate vs Alisa | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Ultimate vs Nina | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Ultimate vs Xiaoyu | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Ultimate vs Devil Jin | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Ultimate vs Lili | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Ultimate vs Jun | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Ultimate vs Yoshimitsu | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Leo | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Ultimate vs Eddy | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Bryan | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Jack-8 | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Kuma | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Ultimate vs Fahkumram | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.