| Festival vs Kazuya | 21–9 | 70.00% |
| Festival vs Jin | 16–10 | 61.54% |
| Festival vs Dragunov | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| Festival vs King | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Festival vs Steve | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| Festival vs Yoshimitsu | 12–4 | 75.00% |
| Festival vs Bryan | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Festival vs Lee | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| Festival vs Eddy | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| Festival vs Asuka | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Festival vs Alisa | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Festival vs Jun | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Festival vs Azucena | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Festival vs Hwoarang | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| Festival vs Lili | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| Festival vs Feng | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Festival vs Leo | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Festival vs Victor | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Festival vs Xiaoyu | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Festival vs Reina | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Festival vs Devil Jin | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Festival vs Nina | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Festival vs Law | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Festival vs Jack-8 | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Festival vs Lars | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Festival vs Shaheen | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Festival vs Clive | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Festival vs Claudio | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Festival vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Festival vs Lidia | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Festival vs Paul | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Festival vs Raven | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Festival vs Heihachi | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.