| Festival vs Kazuya | 33–20 | 62.26% |
| Festival vs Armor King | 30–22 | 57.69% |
| Festival vs Jin | 26–21 | 55.32% |
| Festival vs Steve | 22–23 | 48.89% |
| Festival vs King | 20–24 | 45.45% |
| Festival vs Bryan | 27–13 | 67.50% |
| Festival vs Dragunov | 19–15 | 55.88% |
| Festival vs Lili | 24–8 | 75.00% |
| Festival vs Reina | 18–14 | 56.25% |
| Festival vs Yoshimitsu | 17–10 | 62.96% |
| Festival vs Hwoarang | 18–9 | 66.67% |
| Festival vs Law | 15–9 | 62.50% |
| Festival vs Feng | 11–11–1 | 50.00% |
| Festival vs Lee | 11–12 | 47.83% |
| Festival vs Jun | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| Festival vs Azucena | 12–11 | 52.17% |
| Festival vs Eddy | 11–11 | 50.00% |
| Festival vs Lars | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Festival vs Asuka | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Festival vs Xiaoyu | 10–8 | 55.56% |
| Festival vs Leo | 15–2 | 88.24% |
| Festival vs Alisa | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Festival vs Lidia | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| Festival vs Jack-8 | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Festival vs Devil Jin | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Festival vs Nina | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| Festival vs Clive | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| Festival vs Fahkumram | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| Festival vs Paul | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Festival vs Victor | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Festival vs Heihachi | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Festival vs Claudio | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Festival vs Miary Zo | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Festival vs Shaheen | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Festival vs Zafina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Festival vs Leroy | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Festival vs Raven | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Festival vs Anna | 2–2 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.