| hotaru vs Steve | 10–18 | 35.71% |
| hotaru vs Lidia | 2–11 | 15.38% |
| hotaru vs Zafina | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| hotaru vs Reina | 8–1 | 88.89% |
| hotaru vs Jin | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| hotaru vs Lars | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| hotaru vs Jun | 1–7 | 12.50% |
| hotaru vs Eddy | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| hotaru vs Kazuya | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| hotaru vs Lili | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| hotaru vs Azucena | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| hotaru vs Victor | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| hotaru vs Heihachi | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| hotaru vs Clive | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| hotaru vs Hwoarang | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| hotaru vs Law | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| hotaru vs Bryan | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| hotaru vs Paul | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| hotaru vs Asuka | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| hotaru vs Dragunov | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| hotaru vs Alisa | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| hotaru vs Shaheen | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| hotaru vs Leroy | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| hotaru vs King | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| hotaru vs Yoshimitsu | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| hotaru vs Claudio | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| hotaru vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| hotaru vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| hotaru vs Fahkumram | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| hotaru vs Nina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.