| Paul with bagel vs Jin | 24–19 | 55.81% |
| Paul with bagel vs Kazuya | 19–23 | 45.24% |
| Paul with bagel vs Hwoarang | 16–19 | 45.71% |
| Paul with bagel vs Law | 17–16 | 51.52% |
| Paul with bagel vs King | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Steve | 17–8 | 68.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Reina | 15–10 | 60.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Dragunov | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Bryan | 13–6 | 68.42% |
| Paul with bagel vs Lili | 13–6 | 68.42% |
| Paul with bagel vs Yoshimitsu | 4–11 | 26.67% |
| Paul with bagel vs Lidia | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Paul with bagel vs Nina | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Jun | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Paul with bagel vs Asuka | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| Paul with bagel vs Heihachi | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Paul with bagel vs Devil Jin | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Victor | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Paul with bagel vs Jack-8 | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Paul with bagel vs Lars | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Paul with bagel vs Alisa | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Eddy | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Azucena | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Paul with bagel vs Xiaoyu | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Paul with bagel vs Lee | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| Paul with bagel vs Claudio | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Paul with bagel vs Zafina | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Paul with bagel vs Armor King | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Paul | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Leroy | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Raven | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Paul with bagel vs Kuma | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Paul with bagel vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.