| Tokugawa vs King | 13–21 | 38.24% |
| Tokugawa vs Steve | 14–12 | 53.85% |
| Tokugawa vs Jun | 16–9 | 64.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Lidia | 16–7 | 69.57% |
| Tokugawa vs Jin | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Tokugawa vs Hwoarang | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Reina | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Victor | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Eddy | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Bryan | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| Tokugawa vs Lee | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| Tokugawa vs Nina | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Tokugawa vs Kazuya | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Tokugawa vs Law | 1–10 | 9.09% |
| Tokugawa vs Leroy | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Raven | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Paul | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Lars | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Jack-8 | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Tokugawa vs Dragunov | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| Tokugawa vs Armor King | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Tokugawa vs Lili | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Tokugawa vs Alisa | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Shaheen | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Tokugawa vs Yoshimitsu | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Asuka | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Zafina | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Azucena | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Feng | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Leo | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Panda | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Claudio | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Kuma | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Anna | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Tokugawa vs Devil Jin | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Heihachi | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Clive | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Miary Zo | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Xiaoyu | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Tokugawa vs Fahkumram | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.