| CaffeineWater vs Steve | 28–35 | 44.44% |
| CaffeineWater vs Jin | 22–30 | 42.31% |
| CaffeineWater vs King | 25–24–1 | 51.02% |
| CaffeineWater vs Law | 22–25 | 46.81% |
| CaffeineWater vs Kazuya | 25–15 | 62.50% |
| CaffeineWater vs Heihachi | 10–26 | 27.78% |
| CaffeineWater vs Hwoarang | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| CaffeineWater vs Jun | 9–22 | 29.03% |
| CaffeineWater vs Nina | 10–17 | 37.04% |
| CaffeineWater vs Reina | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Azucena | 10–14 | 41.67% |
| CaffeineWater vs Victor | 7–15 | 31.82% |
| CaffeineWater vs Eddy | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| CaffeineWater vs Armor King | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| CaffeineWater vs Bryan | 1–19 | 5.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Asuka | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Fahkumram | 5–14 | 26.32% |
| CaffeineWater vs Yoshimitsu | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| CaffeineWater vs Alisa | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| CaffeineWater vs Paul | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| CaffeineWater vs Xiaoyu | 11–3 | 78.57% |
| CaffeineWater vs Leroy | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| CaffeineWater vs Lili | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| CaffeineWater vs Dragunov | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| CaffeineWater vs Leo | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| CaffeineWater vs Clive | 2–10 | 16.67% |
| CaffeineWater vs Feng | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Lars | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Lidia | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Devil Jin | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| CaffeineWater vs Claudio | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| CaffeineWater vs Lee | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| CaffeineWater vs Jack-8 | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| CaffeineWater vs Raven | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Anna | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| CaffeineWater vs Kuma | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Shaheen | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| CaffeineWater vs Miary Zo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| CaffeineWater vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.