| Makunouchi vs Kazuya | 53–55 | 49.07% |
| Makunouchi vs Jin | 35–63 | 35.71% |
| Makunouchi vs Reina | 54–42–1 | 56.25% |
| Makunouchi vs King | 37–56 | 39.78% |
| Makunouchi vs Paul | 37–37 | 50.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Dragunov | 26–45 | 36.62% |
| Makunouchi vs Law | 27–39 | 40.91% |
| Makunouchi vs Yoshimitsu | 27–33 | 45.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Devil Jin | 20–32 | 38.46% |
| Makunouchi vs Bryan | 27–24 | 52.94% |
| Makunouchi vs Heihachi | 13–34 | 27.66% |
| Makunouchi vs Hwoarang | 17–25 | 40.48% |
| Makunouchi vs Feng | 17–24 | 41.46% |
| Makunouchi vs Victor | 10–31 | 24.39% |
| Makunouchi vs Jun | 16–19 | 45.71% |
| Makunouchi vs Steve | 14–19 | 42.42% |
| Makunouchi vs Lidia | 12–21 | 36.36% |
| Makunouchi vs Nina | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| Makunouchi vs Lee | 18–14 | 56.25% |
| Makunouchi vs Asuka | 9–19 | 32.14% |
| Makunouchi vs Claudio | 5–13 | 27.78% |
| Makunouchi vs Eddy | 7–11 | 38.89% |
| Makunouchi vs Lili | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Makunouchi vs Leroy | 12–4 | 75.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Alisa | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Shaheen | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Makunouchi vs Xiaoyu | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Makunouchi vs Lars | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Makunouchi vs Azucena | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Jack-8 | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Makunouchi vs Kuma | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| Makunouchi vs Leo | 1–9 | 10.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Panda | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Clive | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Raven | 6–0 | 100.00% |
| Makunouchi vs Zafina | 1–4 | 20.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.