| cake.spin vs Kazuya | 69–72 | 48.94% |
| cake.spin vs Bryan | 74–49 | 60.16% |
| cake.spin vs Jin | 50–47 | 51.55% |
| cake.spin vs Hwoarang | 56–33 | 62.92% |
| cake.spin vs Reina | 48–41 | 53.93% |
| cake.spin vs Dragunov | 41–35 | 53.95% |
| cake.spin vs Paul | 34–41 | 45.33% |
| cake.spin vs King | 37–38 | 49.33% |
| cake.spin vs Steve | 28–38 | 42.42% |
| cake.spin vs Asuka | 32–25 | 56.14% |
| cake.spin vs Lili | 31–26 | 54.39% |
| cake.spin vs Lee | 24–31 | 43.64% |
| cake.spin vs Yoshimitsu | 27–27 | 50.00% |
| cake.spin vs Jun | 34–19 | 64.15% |
| cake.spin vs Victor | 27–23 | 54.00% |
| cake.spin vs Azucena | 30–18 | 62.50% |
| cake.spin vs Alisa | 24–23 | 51.06% |
| cake.spin vs Feng | 20–22 | 47.62% |
| cake.spin vs Law | 28–13 | 68.29% |
| cake.spin vs Devil Jin | 17–24 | 41.46% |
| cake.spin vs Claudio | 21–20 | 51.22% |
| cake.spin vs Lars | 18–21 | 46.15% |
| cake.spin vs Heihachi | 18–21 | 46.15% |
| cake.spin vs Zafina | 20–13 | 60.61% |
| cake.spin vs Raven | 19–13 | 59.38% |
| cake.spin vs Kuma | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| cake.spin vs Shaheen | 12–17 | 41.38% |
| cake.spin vs Xiaoyu | 22–6 | 78.57% |
| cake.spin vs Leo | 18–9 | 66.67% |
| cake.spin vs Leroy | 14–13 | 51.85% |
| cake.spin vs Nina | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| cake.spin vs Eddy | 12–12 | 50.00% |
| cake.spin vs Lidia | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| cake.spin vs Jack-8 | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| cake.spin vs Clive | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| cake.spin vs Panda | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| cake.spin vs Anna | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| cake.spin vs Armor King | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.