| Rafael vs Jin | 25–21 | 54.35% |
| Rafael vs King | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| Rafael vs Lili | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| Rafael vs Reina | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| Rafael vs Kazuya | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Rafael vs Hwoarang | 13–6 | 68.42% |
| Rafael vs Steve | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| Rafael vs Paul | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Rafael vs Jun | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Rafael vs Eddy | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Rafael vs Victor | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Rafael vs Lars | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Claudio | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Bryan | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Rafael vs Yoshimitsu | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Dragunov | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Rafael vs Nina | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| Rafael vs Azucena | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Rafael vs Lidia | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Rafael vs Alisa | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Rafael vs Kuma | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Rafael vs Leroy | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Rafael vs Law | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Rafael vs Asuka | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Feng | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Rafael vs Devil Jin | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Lee | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Rafael vs Xiaoyu | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Jack-8 | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Rafael vs Leo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Shaheen | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.