| Chance vs Jin | 49–31 | 61.25% |
| Chance vs Hwoarang | 39–37 | 51.32% |
| Chance vs King | 37–35 | 51.39% |
| Chance vs Kazuya | 33–37 | 47.14% |
| Chance vs Steve | 31–20 | 60.78% |
| Chance vs Bryan | 20–26 | 43.48% |
| Chance vs Yoshimitsu | 18–22 | 45.00% |
| Chance vs Paul | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| Chance vs Law | 22–16 | 57.89% |
| Chance vs Reina | 11–23 | 32.35% |
| Chance vs Victor | 20–13–1 | 60.61% |
| Chance vs Eddy | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| Chance vs Lili | 14–14 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Lidia | 17–9 | 65.38% |
| Chance vs Dragunov | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| Chance vs Jun | 15–10 | 60.00% |
| Chance vs Devil Jin | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| Chance vs Nina | 8–16 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Asuka | 15–7 | 68.18% |
| Chance vs Feng | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Chance vs Alisa | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Chance vs Heihachi | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Chance vs Azucena | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Jack-8 | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Chance vs Kuma | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Chance vs Leroy | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Chance vs Lars | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Chance vs Clive | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Chance vs Xiaoyu | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Lee | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Chance vs Leo | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| Chance vs Claudio | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Shaheen | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Chance vs Zafina | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Raven | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Chance vs Panda | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Chance vs Fahkumram | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.