| WhatsTheChance vs Jin | 2–12 | 14.29% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Kazuya | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs King | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Law | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Reina | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Claudio | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Jun | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Victor | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Hwoarang | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Lili | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Dragunov | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Alisa | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Paul | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Yoshimitsu | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Xiaoyu | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Bryan | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Steve | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Nina | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Heihachi | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Asuka | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Lars | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Panda | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Leo | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Lee | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| WhatsTheChance vs Leroy | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.