| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Eddy | 5–12 | 29.41% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Yoshimitsu | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Kazuya | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Jun | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Jin | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Devil Jin | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Victor | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Hwoarang | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Alisa | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Leroy | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Azucena | 7–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Steve | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Jack-8 | 1–4–1 | 20.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Law | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs King | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Shaheen | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Leo | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Bryan | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Dragunov | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Reina | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Feng | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Lili | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Lars | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Claudio | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Panda | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Nina | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| UlTiMaTe-_Run vs Raven | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.