| Paincakes vs Kazuya | 52–47 | 52.53% |
| Paincakes vs Bryan | 51–30 | 62.96% |
| Paincakes vs Reina | 43–36 | 54.43% |
| Paincakes vs King | 34–35 | 49.28% |
| Paincakes vs Jin | 32–27 | 54.24% |
| Paincakes vs Hwoarang | 28–30 | 48.28% |
| Paincakes vs Azucena | 30–23 | 56.60% |
| Paincakes vs Law | 30–22 | 57.69% |
| Paincakes vs Lee | 24–25 | 48.98% |
| Paincakes vs Lili | 20–28 | 41.67% |
| Paincakes vs Dragunov | 19–22 | 46.34% |
| Paincakes vs Jun | 18–19 | 48.65% |
| Paincakes vs Paul | 18–15 | 54.55% |
| Paincakes vs Xiaoyu | 16–16 | 50.00% |
| Paincakes vs Steve | 14–17 | 45.16% |
| Paincakes vs Lidia | 20–11 | 64.52% |
| Paincakes vs Anna | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| Paincakes vs Heihachi | 12–18 | 40.00% |
| Paincakes vs Devil Jin | 10–18 | 35.71% |
| Paincakes vs Feng | 16–11 | 59.26% |
| Paincakes vs Claudio | 12–15 | 44.44% |
| Paincakes vs Yoshimitsu | 9–15 | 37.50% |
| Paincakes vs Jack-8 | 10–12 | 45.45% |
| Paincakes vs Kuma | 13–8 | 61.90% |
| Paincakes vs Victor | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Paincakes vs Asuka | 9–8–1 | 52.94% |
| Paincakes vs Alisa | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Paincakes vs Eddy | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| Paincakes vs Leo | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Paincakes vs Clive | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Paincakes vs Lars | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Paincakes vs Nina | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Paincakes vs Raven | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Paincakes vs Shaheen | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Paincakes vs Panda | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Paincakes vs Zafina | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Paincakes vs Leroy | 3–1 | 75.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.