| Hypothetical vs Reina | 13–17 | 43.33% |
| Hypothetical vs Steve | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Hypothetical vs Kazuya | 5–19 | 20.83% |
| Hypothetical vs Victor | 5–13 | 27.78% |
| Hypothetical vs Law | 7–10 | 41.18% |
| Hypothetical vs Dragunov | 4–11 | 26.67% |
| Hypothetical vs Paul | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| Hypothetical vs Jin | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| Hypothetical vs Yoshimitsu | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Hypothetical vs Bryan | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Hypothetical vs Lili | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Alisa | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Hypothetical vs King | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Hypothetical vs Xiaoyu | 1–8 | 11.11% |
| Hypothetical vs Azucena | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Hypothetical vs Lee | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Hypothetical vs Asuka | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Hypothetical vs Lidia | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Hypothetical vs Hwoarang | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Hypothetical vs Nina | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Jack-8 | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Feng | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Shaheen | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Eddy | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Lars | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Hypothetical vs Claudio | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Leroy | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Jun | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Hypothetical vs Heihachi | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.