| LightningReturn vs Jin | 115–94 | 55.02% |
| LightningReturn vs Kazuya | 110–88 | 55.56% |
| LightningReturn vs Bryan | 69–76 | 47.59% |
| LightningReturn vs Hwoarang | 58–66 | 46.77% |
| LightningReturn vs Reina | 70–50 | 58.33% |
| LightningReturn vs Paul | 42–76 | 35.59% |
| LightningReturn vs Steve | 53–62 | 46.09% |
| LightningReturn vs King | 60–53 | 53.10% |
| LightningReturn vs Law | 54–46 | 54.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Lee | 57–43 | 57.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Devil Jin | 46–49 | 48.42% |
| LightningReturn vs Dragunov | 47–48 | 49.47% |
| LightningReturn vs Lili | 44–50 | 46.81% |
| LightningReturn vs Yoshimitsu | 33–41 | 44.59% |
| LightningReturn vs Leroy | 39–35 | 52.70% |
| LightningReturn vs Azucena | 40–33 | 54.79% |
| LightningReturn vs Jun | 44–26 | 62.86% |
| LightningReturn vs Feng | 34–35 | 49.28% |
| LightningReturn vs Lars | 34–30 | 53.12% |
| LightningReturn vs Eddy | 34–27 | 55.74% |
| LightningReturn vs Victor | 24–35 | 40.68% |
| LightningReturn vs Lidia | 32–26 | 55.17% |
| LightningReturn vs Xiaoyu | 28–24 | 53.85% |
| LightningReturn vs Nina | 29–23 | 55.77% |
| LightningReturn vs Jack-8 | 22–29 | 43.14% |
| LightningReturn vs Alisa | 21–30 | 41.18% |
| LightningReturn vs Asuka | 29–21 | 58.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Zafina | 26–19 | 57.78% |
| LightningReturn vs Claudio | 19–22 | 46.34% |
| LightningReturn vs Leo | 20–20 | 50.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Raven | 19–19 | 50.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Shaheen | 9–18 | 33.33% |
| LightningReturn vs Kuma | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| LightningReturn vs Heihachi | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Anna | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Panda | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| LightningReturn vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.