| Optimistic vs Anna | 37–35 | 51.39% |
| Optimistic vs Bryan | 38–32 | 54.29% |
| Optimistic vs Steve | 41–22 | 65.08% |
| Optimistic vs Law | 40–21 | 65.57% |
| Optimistic vs King | 30–23 | 56.60% |
| Optimistic vs Hwoarang | 30–19 | 61.22% |
| Optimistic vs Kazuya | 30–19 | 61.22% |
| Optimistic vs Reina | 13–36 | 26.53% |
| Optimistic vs Lars | 23–24 | 48.94% |
| Optimistic vs Jin | 28–17 | 62.22% |
| Optimistic vs Paul | 26–17 | 60.47% |
| Optimistic vs Lee | 30–12 | 71.43% |
| Optimistic vs Yoshimitsu | 18–16 | 52.94% |
| Optimistic vs Devil Jin | 18–15 | 54.55% |
| Optimistic vs Lili | 19–14 | 57.58% |
| Optimistic vs Leroy | 17–15 | 53.12% |
| Optimistic vs Jun | 16–15 | 51.61% |
| Optimistic vs Eddy | 18–13 | 58.06% |
| Optimistic vs Heihachi | 15–15 | 50.00% |
| Optimistic vs Lidia | 17–12 | 58.62% |
| Optimistic vs Dragunov | 20–8 | 71.43% |
| Optimistic vs Raven | 17–11 | 60.71% |
| Optimistic vs Feng | 16–10 | 61.54% |
| Optimistic vs Zafina | 12–12 | 50.00% |
| Optimistic vs Jack-8 | 12–10 | 54.55% |
| Optimistic vs Asuka | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| Optimistic vs Azucena | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| Optimistic vs Clive | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Optimistic vs Leo | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| Optimistic vs Claudio | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Optimistic vs Xiaoyu | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Optimistic vs Nina | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Optimistic vs Victor | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| Optimistic vs Shaheen | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Optimistic vs Kuma | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Optimistic vs Panda | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Optimistic vs Fahkumram | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Optimistic vs Alisa | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.