| Cereal Guy vs Kazuya | 129–91 | 58.64% |
| Cereal Guy vs Jin | 109–51 | 68.12% |
| Cereal Guy vs Bryan | 88–56 | 61.11% |
| Cereal Guy vs Paul | 83–52 | 61.48% |
| Cereal Guy vs King | 79–53 | 59.85% |
| Cereal Guy vs Hwoarang | 84–46 | 64.62% |
| Cereal Guy vs Steve | 62–57 | 52.10% |
| Cereal Guy vs Reina | 57–55 | 50.89% |
| Cereal Guy vs Dragunov | 64–38 | 62.75% |
| Cereal Guy vs Yoshimitsu | 53–47 | 53.00% |
| Cereal Guy vs Devil Jin | 56–41 | 57.73% |
| Cereal Guy vs Law | 57–32 | 64.04% |
| Cereal Guy vs Lili | 42–44 | 48.84% |
| Cereal Guy vs Lee | 57–29 | 66.28% |
| Cereal Guy vs Xiaoyu | 37–37 | 50.00% |
| Cereal Guy vs Lars | 20–53 | 27.40% |
| Cereal Guy vs Jun | 29–35 | 45.31% |
| Cereal Guy vs Alisa | 28–35 | 44.44% |
| Cereal Guy vs Asuka | 38–24 | 61.29% |
| Cereal Guy vs Azucena | 26–35 | 42.62% |
| Cereal Guy vs Victor | 22–36 | 37.93% |
| Cereal Guy vs Heihachi | 34–21 | 61.82% |
| Cereal Guy vs Lidia | 27–25 | 51.92% |
| Cereal Guy vs Raven | 33–17 | 66.00% |
| Cereal Guy vs Nina | 28–19 | 59.57% |
| Cereal Guy vs Feng | 20–24 | 45.45% |
| Cereal Guy vs Zafina | 19–25 | 43.18% |
| Cereal Guy vs Leo | 15–28 | 34.88% |
| Cereal Guy vs Fahkumram | 20–21 | 48.78% |
| Cereal Guy vs Leroy | 21–19 | 52.50% |
| Cereal Guy vs Eddy | 18–21 | 46.15% |
| Cereal Guy vs Clive | 13–26 | 33.33% |
| Cereal Guy vs Jack-8 | 19–19 | 50.00% |
| Cereal Guy vs Kuma | 18–17 | 51.43% |
| Cereal Guy vs Shaheen | 20–13 | 60.61% |
| Cereal Guy vs Anna | 11–12 | 47.83% |
| Cereal Guy vs Panda | 7–15 | 31.82% |
| Cereal Guy vs Claudio | 12–7 | 63.16% |
| Cereal Guy vs Armor King | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Cereal Guy vs Miary Zo | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.