| Pessimistic vs Jin | 40–24 | 62.50% |
| Pessimistic vs Kazuya | 34–26 | 56.67% |
| Pessimistic vs Lidia | 18–42 | 30.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Reina | 26–23 | 53.06% |
| Pessimistic vs Dragunov | 19–29 | 39.58% |
| Pessimistic vs King | 20–23 | 46.51% |
| Pessimistic vs Steve | 23–14 | 62.16% |
| Pessimistic vs Lili | 15–15 | 50.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Victor | 16–11 | 59.26% |
| Pessimistic vs Paul | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Alisa | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Hwoarang | 8–16 | 33.33% |
| Pessimistic vs Devil Jin | 12–12 | 50.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Law | 15–5 | 75.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Yoshimitsu | 5–15 | 25.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Nina | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Azucena | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Lars | 5–14 | 26.32% |
| Pessimistic vs Feng | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Pessimistic vs Jun | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Pessimistic vs Lee | 12–2 | 85.71% |
| Pessimistic vs Eddy | 3–11 | 21.43% |
| Pessimistic vs Bryan | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| Pessimistic vs Asuka | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Pessimistic vs Shaheen | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| Pessimistic vs Raven | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| Pessimistic vs Heihachi | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Pessimistic vs Claudio | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Pessimistic vs Kuma | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Pessimistic vs Jack-8 | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Panda | 5–0 | 100.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Leroy | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Xiaoyu | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Leo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Pessimistic vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.