| Ciel vs Jin | 19–23 | 45.24% |
| Ciel vs Kazuya | 19–16 | 54.29% |
| Ciel vs King | 9–18 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Bryan | 15–10 | 60.00% |
| Ciel vs Victor | 11–11 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Lili | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Ciel vs Azucena | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Ciel vs Eddy | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Feng | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Ciel vs Law | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Ciel vs Steve | 7–11 | 38.89% |
| Ciel vs Hwoarang | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| Ciel vs Alisa | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Nina | 8–6 | 57.14% |
| Ciel vs Dragunov | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Ciel vs Lee | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Ciel vs Reina | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Ciel vs Jack-8 | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Ciel vs Jun | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Ciel vs Leroy | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Xiaoyu | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| Ciel vs Yoshimitsu | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Ciel vs Asuka | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Ciel vs Devil Jin | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Ciel vs Paul | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Ciel vs Leo | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Shaheen | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Ciel vs Lars | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Ciel vs Kuma | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Zafina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Raven | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Claudio | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Panda | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Anna | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.